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Monsoonal resurgence sets up wet work week ahead

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The National Weather Service has issued the following special weather statement:

IMPRESSIVE LATE SEASON MONSOONAL SURGE FOR MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK...

HIGH PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF NEW MEXICO WHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL SET UP A SIGNIFICANT SURGE OF MOISTURE INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO FROM MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY... AND PROBABLY LONGER.

DEEP MOISTURE WILL WORK ITS WAY NORTH FROM MEXICO AND EAST FROM ARIZONA STARTING MONDAY IN THE FAR WEST... THEN MAKING ITS WAY EAST ACROSS WESTERN INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THESE TWO DAYS LOOK TO BE THE WETTEST... WITH THE MOST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAIN WILL COME THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FOR SOME OF THE BURN SCAR AREAS. THE WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR WILL BE A PARTICULAR CONCERN MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL RATES UP TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE.

MODELS DIFFER ON HOW LONG THE MOISTURE PLUME REMAINS OVER THE STATE. WHILE THE COVERAGE MAY DIMINISH SOME LATER IN THE WEEK THERE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE A RISK FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.

THOSE PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS WEEK ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR WET WEATHER AND POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

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