How smart will computers get?

-A A +A
By The Staff

In recent years the ability of computers has grown dramatically.  Many are predicting that machines (computers) will soon be smarter than people.  How realistic is this?

If it is a realistic possibility how soon might it happen?

Smart is a poorly defined term in this context, so let’s start with some clarification.  For humans the concept of IQ (Intelligence Quotient) is well established and numerous kinds of IQ tests have been devised and used.  

An IQ test measures 4 or 5 of the cognitive abilities we humans possess and results in a numerical value that compares us to the average of the rest of humanity.  An IQ of 100 means we are exactly as smart as the world average.

Except of course it’s not quite as simple as that since test groups, test structure and testing methodology can possibly skew the results.  Rather get lost in a discussion of this topic let’s skip to the related question.

How smart are computers?  How fast are they getting smarter?  AND how do we measure computer intelligence?

First of all, we still don’t really even know what we mean by computer intelligence!  Rather we talk about computer performance.  For that there are several well-defined metrics.  Well defined, but perhaps not very meaningful in the present context.

If you subscribe to the newspaper, you receive FREE access to all the exclusive content of the web site! Simply register to receive uninterrupted access to our award-winning and in-depth local online content!

Renew Current or Past Subscription / Register for Online Subscription

If you currently subscribe or have subscribed in the past to the Los Alamos Monitor, then simply find your account number on your mailing label and enter it below.

Click the question mark below to see where your account ID appears on your mailing label.

Newspaper Acct. ID:
Street Address:
(exactly as it appears on the label)

If you are a subscriber and you do not know your account ID or don't have a copy of your newspaper available that shows the information on the address label you can click continue below to search for your account.

New Subscription/30 Day Free Trial Account

If you are new to the award winning Los Alamos Monitor and wish to get a subscription or simply gain access to our online content then please enter your ZIP code below and continue to setup your account.

ZIP Code:

Create a limited access account.
Register to participate in community forums, post on the community calendar, blog etc. This registration does not give you full access to read our award winning content, etc.

The Los Alamos Monitor | lacirculation@lamonitor.com | 505-662-4185
256 DP Road, Los Alamos, NM 87544
Office Hours are 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m., Monday through Friday