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WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans are promising to repeal and replace President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul if they win control of Congress. But with what?
Not even they know.
Some have proposed major changes to workplace coverage, even turning Medicare into a voucher plan. Many prefer small steps that tiptoe around political land mines. Others want a clean start.
“During the health care debate there was just as much division within Republicans as there was between the parties,” said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a leading adviser to 2008 GOP presidential candidate John McCain. “It will be more visible now that Republicans may be in charge of one house because those divisions will come to the surface.”
Republicans appear have better than even odds of winning the House. At least 75 seats are competitive, the vast majority held by Democrats, according to a recent Associated Press analysis. The GOP only has to win 40.
One of the first acts of a Republican majority would be a vote to repeal what they dismiss as “Obamacare.” But they haven’t said much about what would replace it.
A GOP bill rejected by the Democratic-led House last year is the closest thing to a starting point.
The Republican plan would cover an additional 3 million people by 2019, compared with nearly 33 million under the Obama health care law. It would lower premiums modestly for many small businesses and for people buying insurance directly. It wouldn’t solve the nation’s long-term cost and coverage problems.
“On a scale of 1 to 1,000, it’s about a 5,” scoffs former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, a senior Democratic adviser.
Yet some Republican proposals are as far-reaching as anything Democrats have tried. A budget crisis could push them to the forefront because lowering health costs is critical to reducing record federal deficits.
Many of those ideas come from Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., one of a group of younger lawmakers trying to energize the party leadership.
Along with Sen. Tom Coburn, R-Okla., Ryan sponsored legislation that would begin to wean the middle-class away from job-based coverage and replace Medicaid with private insurance for most low-income people.
The idea is to foster personal responsibility, on the theory that consumers will seek better value for their health care dollars and help drive down costs.
Their plan would make employer coverage taxable to the employee, but that would be offset with a tax credit available to all Americans.
It could be used to buy coverage individually or to keep a plan at work. Some people with generous employer coverage could face higher taxes.