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The title of Art Morse’s talk for the Computer Users Group at the Los Alamos Senior Center Tuesday was a little misleading.
As it turned out, “A Hundred Years of Artificial Intelligence,” was not about the last hundred years, but rather it was neatly divided between the first 50 years, when computers were just becoming accessible and 50 years that haven’t happened yet.
The next 50 years are important because that will be the time frame within which artificial intelligence will almost surely be upon us, according to many projections.
The enormous transformations to come were first described as a “technological singularity” by mathematician, computer scientist and science-fiction writer Vernor Vinge in 1993.
“We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth,” Vinge announced. “The precise cause of this change is the imminent creation by technology of entities with greater-than-human intelligence.”
Despite a great deal of excitement, research and progress in artificial intelligence has surged and ebbed.
Technological progress may be inevitable and there is even a scenario in which mankind will wake up one day and discover that all the computers are connected and plotting our downfall.
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